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Portfolio Review
During the second quarter, equity markets fell due to continued concerns about the credit crisis,
the U.S. housing market and a potential recession. The broad equity market, as defined by our
benchmark, The Russell 3000 Index, was down about 1.7% in the quarter. Housing prices in the
U.S., which started to decline last year, continued their decline through the second quarter of this
year. Problems in the sub-prime real estate market, which surfaced in the third quarter of last
year, have grown at a meaningful rate. Global financial firms have now written off close to $300
billion due to the housing meltdown and the losses are still growing. The persistent rise in
commodity prices, ranging from energy to steel to food crops such as corn, is increasingly
defining the economy and equity markets in 2008. A powerful stock market rally from the March
lows was reversed as energy prices appear to have crossed a threshold that the consensus
believes the global economy cannot handle. Not surprisingly, the best performing sector in the
Russell 3000 in the quarter was energy, which was helped by the price of crude oil reaching alltime
highs. The worst performing sector was financial services, which was negatively impacted
by the housing market and credit problems. Our investment focus has been on businesses that
can handle the rise in input costs via their pricing power, and we will carefully maintain
exposure to the energy and industrial companies that we believe can directly benefit from the rise
in prices.
We feel strongly that the recent market weakness, though disconcerting, presents patient
investors with many extraordinary opportunities to own quality stocks at attractive valuation
levels that are levered to strong long-term demand trends,. While the Fed’s actions to lower
interest rates and support the mortgage market serve as confirmation that the risk of slowing US
growth outweighs the perceived risk of inflation, we believe that these actions also signal a
critical commitment to stabilizing the US capital markets. As the impact of these and prior policy
actions filter through the system, we think investors will begin to look toward a period of better
growth. Meanwhile, unemployment remains modest, wage growth is contained, international
corporate and consumer spending trends remain positive and corporate earnings, outside of
financial and consumer discretionary companies, are performing well. Taken together, the
backdrop of what we believe is a temporary decline in stock prices and a favorable monetary
policy is advantageous to the Rorer investment process. We believe our emphasis on high quality
companies, trading at low relative valuations, will help us to continue outperforming the market
in the years ahead.
Market Review
As noted above, the Russell 3000 Index declined about 1.7% during the second quarter, while
our All Cap portfolio posted strong appreciation thereby substantially outperforming the Index
for the period. This performance was largely due to good stock selection and not from sector
bets. Our three best performing stocks were Synaptics, Nabors Industries, and Bucyrus
International, coming from the technology, energy, and industrial sectors. Our three worst
performers were American International Group, Morgan Stanley, and Hologic, coming from the
financial services and healthcare industries. Our portfolios benefited in the quarter from our
accurate economic forecast, which led us to underweight the consumer throughout the period, a
condition we expect will persist through the remainder of 2008.
Trading Activity
Trading activity was light in the quarter. We initiated a new position in Psychiatric Solutions, a
healthcare provider that dominates its market in inpatient psychiatric services. During the quarter
we sold Pepsico, a fine company that we felt would be hampered by rising packaging and food
costs without the ability to pass them along fully to the consumer. In addition, we sold our
position in Valero, a refining company we felt would also suffer from diminishing margins.
Lastly, we sold Terex, an industrial company we felt would suffer from its large exposure to
Europe and its slowing economy.
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